Premier League Predictor: Astro — Chapter 6, Exercise 2 ==================================================== TASK A fixture has three guest predictions, scored (after a result is entered) at 40, 10, and 0 points respectively. Explain why the prediction league table should average these point values rather than averaging the guests' raw scorelines, and compute the correct averaged guest figure for this fixture. SOLUTION Averaging raw scorelines doesn't produce a meaningful result, because a scoreline is really two separate counting numbers (goals for the home side, goals for the away side), and there's no rule for what "the average of 2-1, 0-3, and 1-1" is even supposed to mean beyond averaging each side's own goal count separately — which itself produces a fractional goal total that was never a real, valid scoreline anyone actually predicted. Worse, it throws away exactly the information that matters for this table: how well each guest actually did, not what numbers they happened to type in. Points, by contrast, are always a single plain number representing "how correct was this prediction" on a scale that's identical no matter what the guest actually predicted or what fixture it was. Averaging points genuinely answers the real question the prediction league table exists to answer — "how well did the guest slot perform on this fixture, considered as one comparable figure alongside user, expert, and ai" — because 40, 10, and 0 are three instances of the exact same kind of measurement, unlike three scorelines which aren't comparable to each other as numbers at all. The averaged guest figure for this fixture is: (40 + 10 + 0) / 3 = 50 / 3 = 16.67 (rounded to two decimal places) This is a genuine, real number that never appears as any individual guest's own points_awarded value, but it's exactly what the prediction league table needs: a single, directly comparable figure representing the guest source's overall performance on this fixture, built the same way regardless of how many guests happened to predict that week. WHY THIS WORKS AS AN ANSWER ---------------------------- It explains concretely why averaging scorelines produces a meaningless, non-comparable result, correctly identifies why points are the right thing to average instead (a single comparable measure of correctness, independent of what was actually predicted), and computes the real averaged figure with the arithmetic shown rather than just asserting the correct method.