Chinese Political History II: Chapter 5, Exercise 1 — Possible Solution ======================================================================= TASK Two sources give different extreme-poverty figures. Explain why they cannot be combined into one series and what conclusion is still safe. ANSWER THE FIGURES Source A: 88.1 percent (1981) to 0.2 percent (2019) Source B: 67 percent (1990) to under 1 percent (2015) WHY NOT COMBINE - The start and end years differ (1981-2019 against 1990-2015). - The chapter's sources do not say which poverty line each uses, so the levels are not comparable: the 1990 value is 67 percent in one and would be somewhere between 88.1 and 0.2 in the other, but I cannot say where. - Splicing two series with different definitions would produce a false trend. SAFE CONCLUSION Both show extreme poverty falling from a majority of the population to under one percent. Say that, and give each figure with its source and years. CAUTION The "about 800 million lifted out, 1978-2018" figure is single-source and uses a third window, so quote it as reported.